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Red52
446414.0
253432.7
111124.7
Blue69
51154.2
365014.4
162941.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67520204060801001201405269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.8
29.729.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.1
End0.0
blue by 8.8
41.50.9
40.040.9
Auto5.4
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
1111
#18
24.70.8
22.721.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 10.3
3650
#23
14.40.9
13.414.4
Auto0.5
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
4464
#35
14.00.8
14.814.0
Auto0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 9.8
5115
#56
4.21.3
2.94.2
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.0