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Red50
41375.0
83626.0
263823.4
Blue40
253717.3
191511.8
291420.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4947304060705040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#9
26.00.0
22.322.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 5.9
2914
#33
20.20.5
20.620.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Second
2638
#31
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 6.1
2537
#30
17.30.5
16.416.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
4137
#53
5.00.1
5.15.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 6.8
1915
#16
11.80.5
12.211.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0