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Red82
512224.1
352528.6
6917.6
Blue93
9523.8
578224.8
404215.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716102040801001201401608293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.2
29.329.5
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 3.9
24.80.5
24.925.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
5122
#11
24.10.2
24.724.9
Auto0.2
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 0.3
95
#15
23.80.5
23.924.3
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
69
#24
17.60.2
18.218.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 1.7
4042
#25
15.90.5
16.016.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0