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Red56
9523.8
578224.8
404215.9
Blue22
512224.1
352528.6
6917.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61720501001502005622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 3.9
28.60.8
29.528.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
95
#15
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 0.3
5122
#11
24.10.8
24.924.1
Auto0.2
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
4042
#25
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 1.7
69
#24
17.60.8
18.417.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0