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Red55
393021.1
34841.9
547116.5
Blue83
404119.5
359722.4
550623.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815801001502005583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#2
41.90.4
42.341.9
Auto0.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 18.8
5506
#14
23.00.3
22.723.0
Auto0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
3930
#19
21.10.4
21.621.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 1.2
3597
#12
22.40.3
22.022.4
Auto0.1
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
5471
#17
16.50.4
16.916.5
Auto0.7
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 3.0
4041
#13
19.50.3
19.219.5
Auto0.9
Teleop18.5
End0.0