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Red95
568731.3
456443.9
526519.5
Blue28
264817.9
345123.3
358516.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855201001502009528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.2
40.040.2
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 20.7
3451
#10
23.30.4
23.723.3
Auto0.7
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
31.30.2
27.327.5
Auto0.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 13.4
2648
#23
17.90.4
18.317.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
5265
#28
19.50.2
15.615.8
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 3.2
3585
#20
16.30.4
16.816.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.6
End0.0