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Red45
5839.8
512224.1
492518.1
Blue24
447316.2
455511.0
549418.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5825040801001201401604524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#3
39.80.8
25.424.6
Auto1.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 21.5
5494
#22
18.30.6
8.88.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
5122
#11
24.10.8
18.317.5
Auto0.2
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 7.9
4473
#30
16.20.6
13.312.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
4925
#16
18.10.8
10.910.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 7.2
4555
#31
11.00.6
8.98.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0