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Red61
264817.9
526519.5
9523.8
Blue78
568731.3
34841.9
490628.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437301001502006178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#15
23.80.6
23.023.6
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 18.1
348
#2
41.90.3
40.640.9
Auto0.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
Second
5265
#28
19.50.9
9.710.6
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 11.7
31.30.3
15.415.8
Auto0.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Third
2648
#23
17.90.9
17.017.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 10.2
28.10.6
15.315.8
Auto0.5
Teleop27.6
End0.0