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Red28
13330.3
528616.2
393021.1
Blue30
404215.9
360921.2
495819.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425301001502830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#8
30.31.4
19.117.7
Auto1.5
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 9.1
3609
#21
21.21.2
17.216.1
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
3930
#19
21.11.4
15.113.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 1.8
4958
#26
19.31.1
21.520.4
Auto0.4
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
5286
#27
16.21.4
10.89.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 0.3
4042
#25
15.91.1
14.313.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0