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Red62
6917.6
345123.3
547116.5
Blue70
17225.0
578224.8
404119.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444402060806270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3451
#10
23.31.4
19.420.9
Auto0.7
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 1.7
172
#9
25.02.0
18.520.5
Auto0.3
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
69
#24
17.61.4
14.015.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 7.2
24.81.2
15.917.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
5471
#17
16.51.4
11.412.8
Auto0.7
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 3.0
4041
#13
19.51.2
11.813.0
Auto0.9
Teleop18.5
End0.0