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Red39
492518.1
404119.5
526519.5
Blue48
9523.8
359722.4
5839.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267104060801001201401603948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5265
#28
19.50.4
10.611.1
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 20.2
58
#3
39.81.6
24.623.0
Auto1.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
4041
#13
19.50.3
13.013.2
Auto0.9
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 4.3
95
#15
23.80.9
23.622.7
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
4925
#16
18.10.4
10.110.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 4.2
3597
#12
22.40.9
18.617.7
Auto0.1
Teleop22.3
End0.0