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Red14
547116.5
455511.0
528616.2
Blue52
360921.2
393021.1
568731.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2647060801001201401601452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5471
#17
16.51.4
12.811.5
Auto0.7
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 14.7
31.30.3
15.816.1
Auto0.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
5286
#27
16.21.4
9.48.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 5.0
3609
#21
21.20.3
16.116.4
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
4555
#31
11.01.4
8.37.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 10.2
3930
#19
21.10.5
13.714.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0