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Red60
495819.3
578224.8
5839.8
Blue3
192219.6
346113.2
526519.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63300204080100120140160603

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#3
39.80.0
23.023.0
Auto1.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 20.2
1922
#18
19.61.4
12.911.5
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Second
24.80.0
17.117.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 5.2
5265
#28
19.52.3
11.18.8
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
4958
#26
19.30.0
20.420.3
Auto0.4
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 6.1
3461
#29
13.21.4
12.411.0
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0