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Red30
568731.3
346113.2
549418.3
Blue6
550623.0
447316.2
360921.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3135050100150200306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.2
16.116.3
Auto0.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 8.2
5506
#14
23.02.4
7.44.9
Auto0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
5494
#22
18.30.3
5.55.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3609
#21
21.21.5
16.414.9
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
3461
#29
13.20.2
11.011.2
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 3.0
4473
#30
16.22.4
11.69.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0