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Red30
492518.1
34841.9
17225.0
Blue10
6917.6
528616.2
495819.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7336020601001201401603010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#2
41.92.0
42.540.5
Auto0.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 22.5
4958
#26
19.31.6
20.318.7
Auto0.4
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Second
172
#9
25.03.3
17.013.7
Auto0.3
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 7.4
69
#24
17.62.7
14.411.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
4925
#16
18.13.3
10.57.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 1.9
5286
#27
16.22.7
8.05.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0