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Red71
264817.9
512224.1
490628.1
Blue62
456443.9
578224.8
547116.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525601001502007162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.11.4
18.519.9
Auto0.5
Teleop27.6
End0.0
blue by 15.9
43.90.9
29.230.0
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Second
5122
#11
24.11.4
20.521.9
Auto0.2
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 0.7
24.80.5
17.117.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
2648
#23
17.91.4
15.116.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 1.4
5471
#17
16.50.9
11.512.3
Auto0.7
Teleop15.9
End0.0