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Red40
404215.9
9523.8
34841.9
Blue6
547116.5
447316.2
346113.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8322050100150406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#2
41.91.8
40.538.7
Auto0.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 25.4
5471
#17
16.52.2
12.310.1
Auto0.7
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
95
#15
23.81.8
22.020.2
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 7.6
4473
#30
16.22.2
9.27.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
4042
#25
15.91.8
13.812.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 2.7
3461
#29
13.21.3
11.29.9
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0