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Red8
345123.3
455511.0
526519.5
Blue55
352528.6
492518.1
360921.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34430100150200855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3451
#10
23.30.9
17.016.1
Auto0.7
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 5.4
28.60.6
20.721.3
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
5265
#28
19.50.9
8.87.9
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3609
#21
21.20.6
14.915.5
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
4555
#31
11.00.9
10.89.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 7.2
4925
#16
18.11.0
7.28.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0