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Red40
495819.3
404119.5
512224.1
Blue21
264817.9
528616.2
192219.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions592702040801001201404021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5122
#11
24.11.3
21.920.6
Auto0.2
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 4.5
1922
#18
19.60.6
11.310.7
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Second
4041
#13
19.50.8
15.514.7
Auto0.9
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 1.6
2648
#23
17.91.0
16.515.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
4958
#26
19.30.8
18.717.9
Auto0.4
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 3.1
5286
#27
16.21.0
5.34.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0