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Red74
6917.6
568731.3
512224.1
Blue126
490628.1
345123.3
5839.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5972010015020074126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.6
22.122.6
Auto0.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 8.5
58
#3
39.84.2
30.835.0
Auto1.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
5122
#11
24.10.9
22.923.8
Auto0.2
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 4.0
28.14.2
23.627.8
Auto0.5
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
69
#24
17.60.9
18.018.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 5.7
3451
#10
23.34.2
18.122.2
Auto0.7
Teleop22.6
End0.0