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Red54
393021.1
352528.6
264817.9
Blue22
359722.4
455511.0
346113.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63400501001505422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.4
24.624.2
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 6.3
3597
#12
22.41.2
21.520.3
Auto0.1
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
3930
#19
21.10.6
18.017.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 7.9
3461
#29
13.21.2
11.09.9
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
2648
#23
17.90.6
19.018.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 6.9
4555
#31
11.01.8
12.811.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0