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Red72
456443.9
528616.2
550623.0
Blue56
13330.3
9523.8
547116.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606401002003004005006007256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.92.6
38.441.0
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 13.6
133
#8
30.30.7
29.729.0
Auto1.5
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
5506
#14
23.02.4
15.017.4
Auto0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
95
#15
23.80.5
21.621.1
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
5286
#27
16.22.4
9.712.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 0.3
5471
#17
16.50.7
14.213.6
Auto0.7
Teleop15.9
End0.0