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Red25
359722.4
358516.3
404119.5
Blue12
512224.1
455511.0
346113.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5441020801001201401602512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3597
#12
22.41.5
20.318.9
Auto0.1
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 1.7
5122
#11
24.12.4
23.821.4
Auto0.2
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
4041
#13
19.51.5
17.816.3
Auto0.9
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 6.3
3461
#29
13.21.6
9.98.2
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
3585
#20
16.31.5
15.914.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 5.4
4555
#31
11.02.4
11.08.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0