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Red113
360921.2
34841.9
192219.6
Blue101
5839.8
17225.0
352528.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6381050100150200250113101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#2
41.92.2
38.640.8
Auto0.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 2.1
58
#3
39.81.4
35.036.4
Auto1.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
3609
#21
21.22.2
16.919.1
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 7.5
28.61.0
26.027.0
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
1922
#18
19.62.2
13.015.3
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 5.4
172
#9
25.01.3
20.521.8
Auto0.3
Teleop24.7
End0.0