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Red60
578224.8
550623.0
455511.0
Blue54
528616.2
404215.9
490628.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445201001502006054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.6
21.221.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 3.3
28.10.1
26.126.2
Auto0.5
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
5506
#14
23.00.9
17.418.2
Auto0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 6.8
5286
#27
16.20.1
12.112.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
4555
#31
11.00.9
8.69.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 4.9
4042
#25
15.90.1
14.614.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0