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Red103
359722.4
568731.3
9523.8
Blue68
13330.3
512224.1
345123.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5969010015020025010368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.32.0
23.225.2
Auto0.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 0.9
133
#8
30.30.6
27.327.9
Auto1.5
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
95
#15
23.82.0
21.123.1
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 0.3
5122
#11
24.10.6
21.422.1
Auto0.2
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
3597
#12
22.42.0
18.920.9
Auto0.1
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3451
#10
23.30.6
21.622.3
Auto0.7
Teleop22.6
End0.0