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Red61
549418.3
393021.1
495819.3
Blue72
526519.5
547116.5
5839.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466201001502006172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3930
#19
21.11.1
17.718.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 18.6
58
#3
39.80.7
36.437.1
Auto1.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
4958
#26
19.30.8
17.718.6
Auto0.4
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5265
#28
19.50.7
11.612.3
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
5494
#22
18.31.1
14.815.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 1.8
5471
#17
16.50.7
13.614.3
Auto0.7
Teleop15.9
End0.0