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Red68
404119.5
346113.2
547116.5
Blue97
6917.6
34841.9
352528.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28910501502006897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4041
#13
19.51.5
16.317.8
Auto0.9
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 22.4
348
#2
41.90.6
40.841.4
Auto0.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
Second
5471
#17
16.51.8
14.316.0
Auto0.7
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 12.1
28.60.6
27.027.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
3461
#29
13.21.5
8.29.7
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 4.4
69
#24
17.60.8
17.117.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0