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Red44
404215.9
456443.9
568731.3
Blue65
360921.2
359722.4
264817.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815101001502004465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.4
39.738.2
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 21.6
3597
#12
22.40.3
20.921.2
Auto0.1
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
31.31.2
25.224.0
Auto0.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 10.1
3609
#21
21.20.3
19.820.2
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
4042
#25
15.91.2
14.713.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 2.0
2648
#23
17.90.4
17.317.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0