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Red80
512224.1
528616.2
393021.1
Blue75
192219.6
578224.8
549418.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5251203040607080908075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5122
#11
24.11.7
22.123.7
Auto0.2
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 0.7
24.81.1
21.923.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
3930
#19
21.11.7
18.820.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 1.6
1922
#18
19.61.1
15.316.3
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
5286
#27
16.21.7
12.213.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 2.1
5494
#22
18.31.3
15.917.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0