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Red40
404119.5
345123.3
9523.8
Blue31
455511.0
495819.3
6917.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6541020801001201401604031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#15
23.81.2
23.121.9
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 4.4
4958
#26
19.30.7
18.617.8
Auto0.4
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Second
3451
#10
23.31.4
22.320.9
Auto0.7
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 5.7
69
#24
17.60.9
17.917.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
4041
#13
19.51.2
17.816.6
Auto0.9
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 8.5
4555
#31
11.00.9
9.58.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0