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Red84
346113.2
17225.0
13330.3
Blue65
492518.1
358516.3
526519.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6139020801001201401608465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#8
30.31.5
27.929.4
Auto1.5
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 10.8
5265
#28
19.51.2
13.915.1
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
172
#9
25.01.5
21.823.3
Auto0.3
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 6.8
4925
#16
18.11.3
14.515.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
3461
#29
13.21.2
9.710.9
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 3.1
3585
#20
16.31.1
15.216.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.6
End0.0