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Red116
492518.1
345123.3
568731.3
Blue83
528616.2
17225.0
455511.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62410208010012014016011683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.32.8
24.026.8
Auto0.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 6.3
172
#9
25.02.4
23.325.7
Auto0.3
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
3451
#10
23.33.1
20.923.9
Auto0.7
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 7.0
5286
#27
16.22.4
13.816.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
4925
#16
18.13.1
15.818.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 7.2
4555
#31
11.02.4
8.511.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0