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Red84
447316.2
495819.3
359722.4
Blue76
360921.2
490628.1
547116.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496401001502008476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3597
#12
22.41.5
21.222.7
Auto0.1
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 5.7
28.11.0
27.828.8
Auto0.5
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
4958
#26
19.31.5
17.819.3
Auto0.4
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 1.9
3609
#21
21.20.9
20.221.1
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
4473
#30
16.21.7
14.516.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
5471
#17
16.51.0
16.017.0
Auto0.7
Teleop15.9
End0.0