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Red107
5839.8
346113.2
404215.9
Blue117
404119.5
550623.0
192219.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61490204080100120140160107117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#3
39.82.5
37.239.7
Auto1.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 16.7
5506
#14
23.03.6
19.923.4
Auto0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
4042
#25
15.92.3
13.515.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 3.7
1922
#18
19.63.2
16.319.6
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
3461
#29
13.22.3
10.913.2
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 6.3
4041
#13
19.53.2
16.619.9
Auto0.9
Teleop18.5
End0.0