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Red107
9523.8
352528.6
578224.8
Blue78
358516.3
264817.9
13330.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7259020408010012014016010778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.7
27.629.3
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 1.7
133
#8
30.30.8
29.430.2
Auto1.5
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
24.81.7
23.024.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 6.9
2648
#23
17.90.8
17.718.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
95
#15
23.81.7
21.923.6
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 7.4
3585
#20
16.30.7
16.317.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.6
End0.0