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Red109
345123.3
456443.9
34841.9
Blue76
5839.8
13330.3
549418.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions803805010015010976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.92.7
20.623.4
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 4.2
58
#3
39.82.5
22.825.4
Auto1.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
348
#2
41.91.8
38.840.6
Auto0.3
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 11.5
133
#8
30.32.5
16.519.1
Auto1.5
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Third
3451
#10
23.32.7
16.719.4
Auto0.7
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 5.0
5494
#22
18.32.5
6.38.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0