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Red22
528616.2
492518.1
393021.1
Blue30
359722.4
404215.9
526519.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404401001502002230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3930
#19
21.11.6
16.815.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 1.2
3597
#12
22.40.7
18.718.0
Auto0.1
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
4925
#16
18.11.6
12.610.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 1.4
5265
#28
19.51.2
10.99.7
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
5286
#27
16.21.6
12.410.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 0.3
4042
#25
15.90.7
15.014.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0