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Red172
213762.8
102390.0
526316.6
Blue130
296039.8
54873.1
514418.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15710450200250300172130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.00.9
77.077.9
Auto8.2
Teleop81.9
End0.0
red by 16.9
548
#2
73.10.7
59.960.5
Auto2.1
Teleop71.0
End0.0
Second
62.80.9
61.862.7
Auto0.3
Teleop62.5
End0.0
red by 23.0
2960
#15
39.80.7
38.739.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Third
5263
#32
16.60.9
15.316.2
Auto0.5
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 2.2
5144
#25
18.80.7
17.718.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.3
End0.0