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Red79
86243.1
148121.0
549824.5
Blue117
366828.2
213762.8
377320.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8412605010015020025079117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#10
43.10.7
43.142.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.3
End0.0
blue by 19.8
62.80.3
66.866.5
Auto0.3
Teleop62.5
End0.0
Second
5498
#20
24.50.7
29.228.5
Auto0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 3.7
3668
#29
28.20.3
34.033.6
Auto0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Third
1481
#13
21.00.7
21.120.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 0.9
3773
#30
20.10.3
22.922.6
Auto0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0