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Red80
296039.8
438149.4
523815.0
Blue100
57134.0
501712.5
54873.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978020406012014016080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.9
47.146.2
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
blue by 23.7
548
#2
73.10.7
64.265.0
Auto2.1
Teleop71.0
End0.0
Second
2960
#15
39.80.9
38.837.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.9
End0.0
red by 27.3
5017
#36
12.50.7
13.714.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
5238
#27
15.00.9
11.710.8
Auto0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 11.0
5713
#39
4.00.7
7.38.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.2
End0.0