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Red153
261234.1
296039.8
568828.8
Blue181
571123.8
86243.1
54873.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77127050100150200250153181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#15
39.83.3
37.941.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.9
End0.0
blue by 33.3
548
#2
73.12.8
65.067.8
Auto2.1
Teleop71.0
End0.0
Second
2612
#17
34.13.3
32.235.5
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
blue by 9.0
862
#10
43.12.8
42.445.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Third
5688
#12
28.83.3
17.821.0
Auto0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
red by 5.0
5711
#18
23.82.8
16.719.5
Auto1.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0