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Red78
296039.8
481014.4
526316.6
Blue120
81517.4
24022.1
21754.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659305015020078120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#15
39.80.3
41.141.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.9
End0.0
blue by 15.0
217
#7
54.81.4
55.056.4
Auto0.6
Teleop54.2
End0.0
Second
5263
#32
16.60.3
15.916.2
Auto0.5
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 5.4
240
#22
22.11.4
20.021.4
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
4810
#33
14.40.3
15.015.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 3.0
815
#26
17.41.4
17.318.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0