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Red38
501712.5
549824.5
377320.1
Blue13
525215.2
57134.0
514418.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6235020801001203813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5498
#20
24.50.8
25.324.5
Auto0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 5.7
5144
#25
18.81.4
20.118.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Second
3773
#30
20.10.8
21.320.5
Auto0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 4.9
5252
#21
15.21.4
14.613.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
5017
#36
12.50.8
13.312.5
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 8.5
5713
#39
4.01.4
5.44.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.2
End0.0