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Red74
526316.6
561215.8
261234.1
Blue90
148121.0
283228.4
520322.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66632040801001207490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#17
34.10.4
34.234.6
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 5.7
2832
#16
28.41.1
26.327.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Second
5263
#32
16.60.4
16.216.6
Auto0.5
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5203
#19
22.41.1
21.322.4
Auto0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
5612
#28
15.80.4
15.415.8
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
1481
#13
21.01.1
20.521.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0