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Red90
496121.9
170123.3
260416.7
Blue61
20118.5
477928.8
481011.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60542040801009061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.5
23.023.4
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 5.5
28.80.1
28.228.3
Auto0.7
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Second
4961
#12
21.90.5
21.622.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 3.4
201
#18
18.50.1
17.918.0
Auto0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
2604
#20
16.70.5
16.316.8
Auto0.6
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 5.4
4810
#29
11.30.1
10.710.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0