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Red127
309833.4
283445.1
481512.9
Blue86
12324.2
81823.1
547819.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836105010015012786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.7
42.142.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 20.9
123
#10
24.20.3
24.324.6
Auto0.3
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
33.40.7
30.431.2
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 10.3
818
#8
23.10.3
23.223.5
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
4815
#28
12.90.7
10.010.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 6.2
5478
#19
19.20.3
19.319.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0