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Red82
6823.9
57329.9
52259.1
Blue84
12324.2
81823.1
547819.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546401001502002503008284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#4
29.90.4
28.128.5
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 5.7
123
#10
24.20.3
23.724.0
Auto0.3
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
68
#11
23.90.4
22.122.5
Auto1.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 0.8
818
#8
23.10.3
22.622.9
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
5225
#21
9.10.4
7.37.7
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 10.1
5478
#19
19.20.3
18.719.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0