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Red53
496121.9
170123.3
260416.7
Blue82
12324.2
81823.1
547819.2
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626140801005382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.2
23.423.3
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 0.9
123
#10
24.20.3
24.024.3
Auto0.3
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
4961
#12
21.90.2
22.121.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 1.2
818
#8
23.10.3
22.923.2
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
2604
#20
16.70.2
16.816.7
Auto0.6
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 2.5
5478
#19
19.20.3
19.019.3
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0