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Red119
438436.7
118941.6
571114.5
Blue55
12324.2
81823.1
547819.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916105010015020011955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.5
40.540.9
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 17.5
123
#10
24.20.2
24.624.4
Auto0.3
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
36.70.5
35.536.0
Auto1.0
Teleop35.7
End0.0
red by 13.6
818
#8
23.10.2
23.523.3
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
5711
#24
14.50.5
13.313.8
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 4.6
5478
#19
19.20.2
19.619.4
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0